Said to a founder with no users yet in their target industry
I wouldn't go to this as a math exercise
I'd rather do two things: research the market, and talk to your potential users.
Have at least 10 real conversations where you sit down with a potential customer. They know this is not a sales call, this is a research call. Ask them: will your business die if you don't have this, or is it just nice to have? Everyone's just cutting the budgets out of the nonessential tools. You need to be the essential tool for them. What would make them switch, and how much are they ready to pay?
These are all the questions you should ask the direct industry you want to sell to.


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